There are only two choices for the Redskins when it comes to Robert Griffin III.
1. Stay the course
2. Get somebody else
If you decide to get somebody else, then you must ask yourself these two questions.
1. WHEN do you go get somebody else?
2. WHO do you think will be better?
If you endeavor to “get somebody else” then a third element of that decision is a complicated question of: “Is there somebody special in this year’s draft, and are we going to be in position to draft him?”
We saw how expensive it can be when you really want somebody, but are “out of position” to draft him.
Therefore, I am a big proponent of “stay the course.”
I am also not ashamed to say I am a fan of Griffin as a person. I think he’s a disciplined athlete who wants to be great, and puts in the hours trying to get there. I think he can be a good leader, if supported by his organization. I think there’s enough raw material in him to be a Pro Bowl caliber player.
That said…. I understand the anti-RG3 voices.
Griffin is far from where everyone would have hoped at this point in his career. In fact, he may be more damaged goods, than finished product. He holds the ball too long. He mashes the “X button” for “escape” too frequently, and may not realize that button is no longer functional. He can often seem blind to recognizing open receivers in a timely fashion.
He tweets a whole bucket of self-indulgent nonsense.
There will be a decision coming up for the Redskins in May. If the team picks up his 5th year option on his rookie contract, it’ll be EXPENSIVE. Something like $16-18 million for that one season alone, guaranteed for injury.
If they decide to NOT pick up that option, then Griffin enters next year as a resounding lame duck QB. You could gently convince RG3 to “prove it” in 2015 for the new deal. But it would be a heads you win, tails you lose situation.
If Griffin plays well, and the team starts winning in 2015, then you would have to pay him a new contract, or hit him with the franchise tag for 2016.
The effective public dynamic of not picking up that option next May, would be a resounding vote of “no-confidence” in Griffin’s ability to be an above replacement caliber starter. It would play very poorly in this town and in this organization, which seems to breed controversy at QB like mold in a co-ed’s dorm fridge.
There are some who would like to cut the cord on Griffin after this season, unless he starts lighting it up – and quickly. They say the original exorbitant cost of acquisition (3 high first rounders, plus a second) should not factor into any decision. It’s a “sunk cost” some say, so just let it go.
I do not agree.
I think barring another crushing, mobility impacting injury between now and May, you need to pick up that 5th year option, despite the steep price. If you spent $11.25 million on Brian Orakpo for 7 games, a torn pectoral muscle, and exactly half of a sack – then shit, one more year of a possible starting QB would be an easy check to write.
I present the following chart of numbers, so we can compare “apples to apples” so to speak on QB’s of similar style and age. Draw your own conclusions, and use the chart as ammo for your arguments, either for or against.
Just make a note of that “Team Win %” number for each team, and ask yourself: “Hmmm… maybe there’s more to this franchise’s suckitude, than just the QB?”